Price Probability betting calculator
The Price Probability calculator
calculates:
- The implied probabily of any given
price
- the mathematically correct price for any given probability
Calculating the implied
probability of any given price
This shows that a price of
2.62 implies a probability
of
38.17%. In other words, if a horse is priced at
2.62
and you think that it has more than a
38.17% chance of
winning, you would be getting good value by backing it at
2.62. Conversely, if you thought that
the horse had less than a
38.17% chance of winning, you
would lay it at
2.62.
Calculating the mathematically correct price for any given probability
This shows that if you thought Tiger Woods had a
70%
chance of winning a golf tournament going into the final day, the mathematically
correct price would be
1.43. If you want to back (lay)
Tiger, you would try to back him at a higher (lower) price in order to get
some value.