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Price Probability betting calculator
The Price Probability calculator
calculates:
- the implied probability of prices
- the mathematically correct price for any given probability
You can open Price Invertor from the drop-up menu at the bottom of Arb Cruncher.
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Calculating the implied
probability of prices
This shows that a price of 2.62 implies a probability
of 38.17%. In other words, if a horse is priced at 2.62
and you think that it has more than a 38.17% chance of
winning, you would be getting good value by backing it at 2.62. Conversely, if you thought that
the horse had less than a 38.17% chance of winning, you
would lay it at 2.62.
Calculating the mathematically correct price for any given probability
This shows that if you thought Tiger Woods had a 70%
chance of winning a golf tournament going into the final day, the mathematically
correct price would be 1.43. If you want to back (lay)
Tiger, you would try to back him at a higher (lower) price in order to get
some value.
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